The Top 10 Strategic Tech Trends for 2014
David Cearley
Trends you can't afford to ignore
- What trends will have the biggest impaction the enterprise over the next 3 years?
- What trends drive significant change and disruption? Rethink approach.
- Changes that are making an impact that is widely applicable.
Backdrop of the Nexus of Forces – social, mobile, info, cloud.
Converging Forces:
- mobile device diversity and mgmt
- mobile apps
- Internet of Everything
- Hybrid Cloud and IT as a Service Broker
Derivative Impact:
- Cloud/Client Arch
- Era a personal cloud
- SW defined anything
- Web scale IT
Future Disruptions:
- Smart machines
- 3D Printing
Mobile Devices
- no single vendor or platform will dominate – google, apple, microsoft with distant 3rd position with only about 10% market share by 2015. Android and iOS dominate.
- many form factors, Google glass, watches. Embedded technology, wearable devices
- BYOC – bring your own clothing
- Innovative BYO knowledge workers will use 3 to 5 devices by 2016
Managing Mobile Diversity
- Rise of Enterprise Mobile Platforms
- Think about building your own enterprise mobile device platform
- Emerging leaders – Microsoft, SAP, IBM, SalesForce
- MDM, MEAP, security containers, file sync/share, cloud mobile back-end services
The Internet of Everything
2020 – 25B things connected to the internet
Internet of People – Facebook 1.11B as of Mar 2013
Internet of Places – 3B Foursquare check-ins as of Jan 2013
Internet of Information – 30T web pages in Google index in 2013
- Big data unlocks the value
- Architecture Matters – where do we keep the data? Edge, gateway, cloud, enterprise?
Hybrid Cloud Computing
- beware of the hype and the confusion
- It's all about crossing boundaries
- Public and private cloud environments
- Extend storage tier out to AWS
- SAML authentication to various services
Hybrid IT – IT as an advisor, broker and provider
Building private cloud services = IaaS and PaaS
Cloud/Client Architecture – The Developer Perspective
- cloud is the control point and system of record – data logic and UI model
- Cloud Service model
- Apps span multiple client devices
- Application is in the cloud; apps expose capabilities on the client
Rise of the Personal Cloud – the Human Perspective
- cloud of services that each person uses
- Not a single device but a cloud of services that each person uses
- Shift of power
- Unique collection of services for each person
Journey to Programmable Everything
- software defined everything
- Tons of vendor hype
- OpenStack
- Fabric-based computing
- Software Defined Anything
The API Economy
- greater consumption of APIs
- You already live in the API economy if you tweet, register, check-in, deposit, like and comment.
Web-Scale IT
- Architecture designed to reduce outages
- DevOps
- You too can run with the big dogs – Facebook, Google, Microsoft.
The Rise of Smart Machines
- Content Explosion
- New Hardware
- Algorithms
- Network Scale
- Movers – autonomous vehicles
- Doers - machine–based helpers, robots
- Sages – linguistically smart info-based helpers, personal assistants, smart advisors
3D Printing
- rapid, iterative development of prototypes
- 82% CAGR to $5.7 billion by 2017
- Inhibitors - over–hype, need to adapt business processes
Comments
Post a Comment