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The Top 10 Strategic Tech Trends for 2014 - Gartner Symposium - Oct 2013

The Top 10 Strategic Tech Trends for 2014
David Cearley

Trends you can't afford to ignore
  1. What trends will have the biggest impaction the enterprise over the next 3 years?
  2. What trends drive significant change and disruption? Rethink approach.
  3. Changes that are making an impact that is widely applicable.
Backdrop of the Nexus of Forces – social, mobile, info, cloud.
Converging Forces:
- mobile device diversity and mgmt
- mobile apps
- Internet of Everything
- Hybrid Cloud and IT as a Service Broker
Derivative Impact:
- Cloud/Client Arch
- Era a personal cloud
- SW defined anything
- Web scale IT
Future Disruptions:
- Smart machines
- 3D Printing

Mobile Devices
 - no single vendor or platform will dominate – google, apple, microsoft with distant 3rd position with only about 10% market share by 2015. Android and iOS dominate.
  • many form factors, Google glass, watches. Embedded technology, wearable devices
  • BYOC – bring your own clothing
  • Innovative BYO knowledge workers will use 3 to 5 devices by 2016
Managing Mobile Diversity
  • Rise of Enterprise Mobile Platforms
  • Think about building your own enterprise mobile device platform
  • Emerging leaders – Microsoft, SAP, IBM, SalesForce
  • MDM, MEAP, security containers, file sync/share, cloud mobile back-end services
The Internet of Everything
2020 – 25B things connected to the internet
Internet of People – Facebook 1.11B as of Mar 2013
Internet of Places – 3B Foursquare check-ins as of Jan 2013
Internet of Information – 30T web pages in Google index in 2013
  • Big data unlocks the value
  • Architecture Matters – where do we keep the data? Edge, gateway, cloud, enterprise?
Hybrid Cloud Computing
  • beware of the hype and the confusion
  • It's all about crossing boundaries
  • Public and private cloud environments
  • Extend storage tier out to AWS
  • SAML authentication to various services
Hybrid IT – IT as an advisor, broker and provider
Building private cloud services = IaaS and PaaS

Cloud/Client Architecture – The Developer Perspective
  • cloud is the control point and system of record – data logic and UI model
  • Cloud Service model
  • Apps span multiple client devices
  • Application is in the cloud; apps expose capabilities on the client
Rise of the Personal Cloud – the Human Perspective
  • cloud of services that each person uses
  • Not a single device but a cloud of services that each person uses
  • Shift of power
  • Unique collection of services for each person
Journey to Programmable Everything
  • software defined everything
  • Tons of vendor hype
  • OpenStack
  • Fabric-based computing
  • Software Defined Anything
The API Economy
  • greater consumption of APIs
  • You already live in the API economy if you tweet, register, check-in, deposit, like and comment.
Web-Scale IT 
  • Architecture designed to reduce outages
  • DevOps
  • You too can run with the big dogs – Facebook, Google, Microsoft.
The Rise of Smart Machines
  • Content Explosion
  • New Hardware
  • Algorithms
  • Network Scale
  • Movers – autonomous vehicles
  • Doers - machine–based helpers, robots
  • Sages – linguistically smart info-based helpers, personal assistants, smart advisors
3D Printing

  • rapid, iterative development of prototypes
  • 82% CAGR to $5.7 billion by 2017
  • Inhibitors - over–hype, need to adapt business processes
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